Service Plays Monday 8/2/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

You can also create individual threads about specific services and discuss them freely but civilly. Again bashing and abusive treatment of any services will not be tolerated.

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

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Lastly The Rx Moderators are appealing to you our everyday posters to report any promotional threads or posts that are made by services or individual touts. No links or contact information to an individual service will be allowed. Just the name of the service. Please report any threads or posts that are promotional attempts by services and touts to use this forum to promote themselves..

Posters can easily report a promotional post by using the triangular Report-a-Post Icon at the bottom left of all post boxes. The poster name of any poster who reports a post that is out of line will be kept strictly confidential.

I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




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Some handicappers do not mind having their plays posted, If we are asked by any company to not let their information be posted here, we will comply with the request and remove the information if we see it.
For The Record.
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Thank you, wilheim.......

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Baseball Crusher

ATL (-140) over NYM

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

Streaking

John Lackey (10-5, 4.26 ERA), Boston Red Sox

Lackey is finally starting to live up to that five-year, $82.5 million he signed in the offseason. The former Angels ace survived a miserable first two months of the season and has rebounded nicely in June and July.

The Red Sox are 3-0 in his last three starts and 8-4 in his last 12. He also owns a 2.35 ERA over his last three appearances.

Brett Myers (8-6, 3.10 ERA), Houston Astros

Houston traded away most of its talented veterans but held onto Myers. There’s even talk the Astros are close to signing the former Phillies hurler to an extension.

So while Houston begins its youth movement, the club wants Myers to hang around and anchor the rotation – and for good reason. Just take a look at dude’s stats.

Even with a brutal lineup and relief staff, the ‘Stros are 4-0 in Myers’ last four outings.

Slumping

Monday’s group of hurlers doesn’t feature a guy who’s really been piss poor lately, but there are three quality arms coming off terrible starts.

Fausto Carmona (10-8, 3.92 ERA), Cleveland Indians

Carmona was rocked for seven runs on 10 hits in just 2 2/3 innings last week against the Yankees.

"Fausto just didn't have it," Indians manager Manny Acta told reporters after the game. "That's the wrong lineup not to have your pitches working for you. They hit him around and put him in a big hole."

Yovani Gallardo (9-5, 2.77 ERA), Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers’ ace was a victim of the Big Red Machine in his last outing. Gallardo surrendered six runs, five of which were earned, in just 2 2/3 innings.

"It was one of those days that it just felt like anything I threw up there was going to get hit," Gallardo said after getting the hook.

Johan Santana (8-5, 3.11 ERA), New York Mets

This two-time Cy Young winner allowed a career-high 13 hits in his last trip to the hill. He got tagged for six runs in the first inning and need 38 pitches just to get out of that first frame.

"Johan really did a great job of settling down, saving our bullpen a little bit," Mets third baseman David Wright told the Associated Press after the game.

Santana allowed just one more run before being lifted in the top of the sixth inning.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hot lines: Monday's best MLB bets

Minnesota Twins at Tampa Bay Rays (-110, 8)

Both teams are on a roll, winning nine of their last 10, and pitching has big a big part of their recent surges.

The Twins are coming off back-to-back shutouts and have allowed a total of only 19 runs during the 10-game stretch. The Rays have allowed just 20 in the same span.

But the roll has taken a toll on the Rays' starting pitchers, all of whom lasted at least six innings in each of their two starts during the team's hot streak.

So manager Joe Maddon has decided to give them all an extra day of rest and has called up righthanded prospect Jeremy Hellickson to face the hot-hitting Twins.

"It's our attempt at being prudent, monitoring their pitches and innings," Maddon told the St. Petersburg Times. "It's about having a very capable pitcher like Hellickson who we feel good about throwing out there in that moment."

The big difference between the two team's success has been hitting. The Twins scored in double-digits in three straight games and tallied 68 runs during their 10-game stretch. The Rays managed just 39.

Hellickson is a top prospect, going 12-3 with a 2.45 ERA at Triple-A Durham, but he's making his big-league debut against some big-time hitters. Welcome to the show, kid.

Pick: Twins

Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates (145, 8)

Talk about two teams headed in opposite directions, this matchup between the red-hot Reds and the piss-poor Pirates only matters in one dugout.

The Reds have won four of their last five after getting a rare series win against the Braves over the weekend. They showed true grit by rallying late to win the last two.

The Pirates have lost eight of their last 10 and have scored only 25 runs during that span. The Bucs are batting just .246 against lefties this season.

But pitching is the real concern for Pittsburgh, with starter Ross Ohlendorf (1-8) returning to the mound for the first time since getting hit in the head by a liner against the Rockies.

Ohlendorf has lasted more than six innings only three times in his last 10 outings and the Bucs traded away closer Octavio Dotel, throwing their bullpen in disarray. This one probably won't be close enough to matter.

Pick: Reds

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bettors' best friend (BBF): Monday's wagering tips

Lines off the board

Brewers at Cubs: Total is off pending wind speed and direction at Wrigley Field.

Lines to keep an eye on

Reds at Pirates: Total opened at 8.5 but has dropped to 8 at most books.

Dodgers at Padres: Total opened at 7 but has slipped to 6.5 at some books.

Weather to watch

Nationals at Diamondbacks: 30 percent chance of thunderstorms.

Mets at Braves: 30 percent chance of thunderstorms.

Blue Jays at Yankees: 30 percent chance of showers.

Who's hot

Rays have won nine of their last 10.

Twins have won seven in a row.

Reds have won six of last seven vs. Pirates.

Astros have won six of their last seven.

Athletics have won six of last seven vs. Royals.

Who's not

Orioles have lost six of their last seven.

Indians have lost six of their last seven.

Brewers have lost five in a row.

Cubs have lost five in a row.

Key stat

200/1 - Odds at the start of the season for the San Diego Padres to win the World Series. The Padres, off to a surprising 60-42 start and in first place in the NL West, are now listed at 11/2, tied for third highest with the Rays and trailing only the Yankees (11/4) and Braves (5/1).

Injury that shouldn't be overlooked

The good news is that X-rays taken of Philadelphia Phillies first baseman Ryan Howard's ankle and elbow were negative after he left Sunday's game against the Washington Nationals. Howard was hit by a pitch in the right elbow in the first inning and X-rays were taken as a precaution while his left ankle was being evaluated. The bad news for the Phillies is that Howard, who is batting .282 with 23 home runs and 81 RBIs this season, may be out of the lineup for awhile.

Game of the day

Twins at Rays (-110, 8.5)

Notable quotable

"Don't take this wrong, but they take advantage of us. We bring a Japanese player and they are very good and they bring all these privileges to them. We bring a Dominican kid ... go to the minor leagues, good luck. Good luck. And it's always going to be like that. It's never going to change. But that's the way it is."

Chicago White Sox manager Ozzie Guillen telling reporters that Major League Baseball gives preferential treatment to Asian players over Latinos.

Tips and notes

Outspoken Chicago White Sox manager Ozzie Guillen ruffled feathers again Sunday, accusing Major League Baseball of giving Asian players preferential treatment over Latinos. Guillen, who has had verbal run-ins with White Sox managament and MLB officials in the past for his comments, said Asian players receive additional perks that are not afforded to Latin Americans, such as translators. Guillen is sure to come under fire again in the coming days and, whether you agree with his words or not, his brashness tends to light a fire under his team. As the spotlight heats up on Ozzie, look for the White Sox to catch fire too.


Denver Broncos running backs Knowshon Moreno and Correll Buckhalter were injured in Sunday's workouts. Moreno, who led the team in rushing yards last season with 947 yards, suffered a serious hamstring injury. Moments later Buckhalter, who rushed for 642 yards last season, suffered a leg injury. The Broncos, who are 50/1 to win the Super Bowl, were mum on the severity of the injuries but a 1-2 blow to their top two RBs is a bad way to open training camp.

After a rash of recent injuries to big-name wide receivers (Dallas' Dez Bryant, Minnesota's Percy Harvin and Philadelphia's DeSean Jackson), the Patriots got an injured star receiver back Sunday when they activated Wes Welker from the active/PUP list, enabling him to practice with the team. Welker passed his physical and declared himself fit for action just six months after tearing his anterior cruciate ligament. The 29-year-old was the top slot receiver in the NFL last season, hauling in a career-best 123 passes for 1,348 yards and six touchdowns. The Patriots are 9/1 to win the Super Bowl.

 

[goldencontender]

Monday MLB Play- GC

On Monday the Bonus Play is on the under in the Reds at Pirates game. Rotation numbers 901/902 at 7:05 eastern. This game fits a nice totals system that plays to the under for road favorites off a home dog win that scored 4 or less runs, vs an opponent that scored 2 or less runs. In the series 13 of the last 20 have played under. The Pirates have struggled offensively and have averaged just 2.5 rpg vover their last 7 games. The Pitching matchup has Ohlendorf for Pittsburgh vs Wood for The Reds. Ohlendorf has gone under in 12 of 15 starts and Wood has a fine 3.13 road era. Look for a low scoring game here tonight. On Monday the lead play is the 100% Diamond Cutter system play that wins by an average 4 runs per game. I also have the 100% MLB Totals system play that averages 12.8 runs per game. On Sunday we swept the board for a second straight day as we pulled 36 games over. For the Bonus Play take the under in the Reds at Pirates game. GC

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

FOXSHEET

Favoring: MILWAUKEE on the run line.
Play On - Road teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (MILWAUKEE) - average hitting team (AVG = .255 to .269) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=3.70 to 4.20) -NL, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games
(44-13 since 1997.) (77.2%,
The situation's record this season is: (1-0

Favoring: MILWAUKEE on the run line.
Play On - Road teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (MILWAUKEE) - average offensive team (4.3 to 4.8 runs/game) against a decent starter (ERA=3.70 to 4.20)-NL, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games
(44-13 since 1997.) (77.2%,
The situation's record this season is: (2-0

Favoring: PITTSBURGH on the run line.
Play On - Home teams against a 1.5 run line (PITTSBURGH) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (NL), with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP >= 2.000 over his last 3 starts
(90-45 since 1997.) (66.7%,
The situation's record this season is: (1-0 +

Favoring: PITTSBURGH on the money line.
Play On - All underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (PITTSBURGH) - poor hitting team (AVG <=.250) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=3.70) -NL, with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP >= 2.000 over his last 3 starts
(32-25 since 1997.) (56.1%,
The situation's record this season is: (1-2

Favoring: HOUSTON on the run line.
Play On - All underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-190 to -135) (HOUSTON) - with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.100 over his last 10 games
(46-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (88.5%,
The situation's record this season is: (9-2

Favoring: TAMPA BAY on the money line.
Play On - Home teams (TAMPA BAY) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games against opponent starting a pitcher who gave up <=1 earned runs in his last 2 outings
(114-56 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.1%,
The situation's record this season is: (21-14

Favoring: ST LOUIS on the money line.
Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 (HOUSTON) - bad offensive team (<=4.1 runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL
(37-7 since 1997.) (84.1%,
The situation's record this season is: (1-1

Monday, 08/02/2010 (901) CINCINNATI vs. (902) PITTSBURGH
Favoring: PITTSBURGH on the money line.
Play On - All underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (PITTSBURGH) - poor hitting team (AVG <=.250) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=3.70) -NL, with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP >= 2.000 over his last 3 starts
(58-46 since 1997.) (55.8%,
The situation's record this season is: (2-3

Favoring: BOSTON on the money line.
Play On - Home teams (BOSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL), starting a pitcher who walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings
(86-35 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.1%,
The situation's record this season is: (10-3

Favoring: PITTSBURGH on the run line.
Play On - All underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-190 to +165) (PITTSBURGH) - poor hitting team (AVG <=.250) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=3.70) -NL, with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP >= 2.000 over his last 3 starts
(75-29 since 1997.) (72.1%, )
The situation's record this season is: (3-2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

"Bulgarian Paid service"

VALERENGA – START :bet on VALERENGA @1,50
Finska Kakkonen grupa A, Atlantis FC - PK Keski-Uusimaa :bet on Atlantis @1,90
Atvidabergs FF - Örebro SK :bet on Örebro @ 2,15

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

808 sports picks mlb

Free Pick Yankees RL.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the A's Sunday.

Monday it's the Rays. The profit is 25 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

Hondo, who was beaten yesterday afternoon with Beautician in the sixth at Saratoga and the Bucs in St. Louis, bounced back last night with the Giants to put the debt at 1,220 hrbeks.

Tonight, he senses the Rays will be hit by a rough case of Post-Yankee-Series-Letdown Syndrome -- 10 units on the Twins.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports
488 - 361 run 58 %

Bonus Play MON Yankees

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Greek Sports Picks
MLB Bonus Play

Over 9.5 Toronto Blue Jays/NY Yankees

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Champion Lays

Sweden Allsvenskan - Trelleborg v Halmstads: lay Halmstads @ 3.4

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

TOTALS 4 U

Top Play
NYY OVER

REG PLAYS
Pitt UNDER 8-
Cards OVER 7-
LAD UNDER 6-
RSox UNDER 9

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

PLATINUM PLAYS

PREMIER PLAY
NYY

400,000K PLAY
Cincy

REG PLAYS
NYM
MILW
LAD
Houston

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CAPPERS ACCESS
Cubs
A's(RL
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

GAMBLERS DATA
Toronto/NYY Under 9.5 -120

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Joe Wiz's Daily Free Pick

Under 10 runs bet. Washington and Arizona

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hot pitchers
-- Wood has a 2.42 RA in his last four starts.
-- Hudson is 4-2, 2.08 in his last six starts. JSantana is 1-0, 1.23 in his last three road starts.
-- Wells has a 1.79 RA in his last six starts.
-- Myers is 3-0, 1.67 in his last five starts.
-- Kuroda has a 1.80 RA in his last three starts. Richard is 4-1, 4.81 in his last seven starts.

-- Burnett is 2-0, 0.00 in his last two starts (11.1 IP). Morrow is 2-0, 2.77 in his last couple starts.
-- Pavano is 4-0, 1.76 in his last four starts.
-- Red Sox won last three Lackey starts (1-0, 2.02).
-- Cahill is 4-2, 2.96 in his last seven starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Ohlendorf is 0-2, 4.80 in his last four starts.
-- Gallardo is 2-2, 8.31 in his last four starts.
-- Lopez is 1-3, 8.16 in his last five starts. LHernandez is 1-3, 4.31 in his last five starts.

-- Hellickson is making MLB debut; he was 12-3, 2.45 in AAA ball.
-- Carmona is 1-3, 6.38 in his last four road starts.
-- Bannister is 0-5, 7.15 in his last six starts.

Totals
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Pittsburgh home games.
-- Five of last six Atlanta home games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Wells starts stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Houston road games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-3 in last ten Arizona home games.
-- Under is 8-2-1 in Dodgers' last eleven games.

-- Over is 9-1-1 in last eleven games in the Bronx.
-- Last four Minnesota road games went over the total.
-- Over is 8-4 in last twelve Lackey starts.
-- Over is 7-3-1 in last eleven Kansas City road games.

Hot Teams
-- Reds won six of their last nine games.
-- Braves are 29-9 in their last 38 home games, but lost five of their last seven games overall.
-- Cardinals won 11 of their last 12 home games. Astros won last four games, outscoring foes 30-4.
-- Padres won 11 of their last 15 games.

-- Blue Jays won six of their last eight games. Bronx won 18 of its last 25 games.
-- Red Sox won four of their last five games.
-- Rays won 12 of their last 14 home games. Twins won their last eight games, scoring 67 runs.
-- Oakland won six of its last eight home games.

Cold Teams
-- Mets are 5-12 since the All-Star break.
-- Pirates lost eight of their last ten games.
-- Cubs lost last five games, allowing 45 runs. Brewers lost 18 of their last 23 road games.
-- Nationals lost seven of their last nine road games. Arizona lost eight of its last ten games overall.
-- Dodgers lost their last five games, scoring nine runs.

-- Indians lost six of their last nine games.
-- Royals lost 14 of their last 20 games
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